Tick.
Tick.
She walked forward step by step.
The so-called prophetic video of the plane crash was quickly covered up by the various news of the recent landslide and earthquake.
After all, in the hearts of many people, it was just a hot topic.
But in reality, it was very likely that an air crash would not happen at all.
At this moment, Gu Shaozhuang was also lying on the bed happily because he had received a shared link on his phone.
It was on the website for graduate students.
An expert with the ID " Ark " conducted a rigorous analysis that left everyone in awe. It went from astronomy to aviation, and also mentioned various so-called professional theories.
In the end, he confirmed one thing.
The probability of a plane crash was even lower than winning a two-color ball.
Recently, a mysterious fortune-teller had become popular. After successfully predicting the impending landslide, he had once again set off a wave and publicly announced that there would be an air crash at Yamato Airlines!
Regarding this matter, many fans wanted me to come out and analyze it. I also studied it for two days and finally came up with a relatively satisfactory answer.
The following is my humble opinion. Please spit out the keyboard gods!
First, it is said that this person knows how to observe the stars at night and predict the coming of landslides. From a scientific point of view, I have also looked up a lot of information, including the relationship between the Earth's rotation and the movement of the earth's crust.
The following is the connection between astronomy and the earth's movement...
He omitted a lot of incomprehensible data.
It is true that thousands of years ago, I once thought of observing the weather at night to predict the changes in the world, the torrential floods, and the shaking of the earth. Therefore, I admit that there is such a possibility.
However, if this so-called Shao Banxian really mastered such a skill, would he be able to predict the occurrence of an air crash?
The answer was definitely impossible to predict! Moreover, this matter would almost never happen! The probability of that happening was even lower than winning a two-color ball!
Upon seeing this, the corners of Gu Shaozhuang's mouth curled up slightly. It was a little interesting.
This person's words were reasonable.
He almost believed it.
However, the key was that there were always many unexpected things happening in this world.
Moreover, the reason why accidents were called accidents was because they were not accidents.
The probability was extremely low, but it did not mean that it would not happen.
Then, he continued reading.
Next, we will discuss the conditions for an aviation accident to occur, as well as the various possible situations!
According to various data, the probability of a person encountering a fatal air crash in their lifetime is only one in 4.7 million. That's right, this data was calculated by the Civil Administration of Civil Affairs. I have the authority and authenticity!
The probability of winning the first prize in the two-color ball was one in 18.87 million.
Yes, you didn't see wrongly. The two numbers are very close. On the surface, the probability of an air crash seems to be slightly higher!
This was also a reminder to everyone that the two-color ball was really just for charity!
However, this is just an ordinary air crash. Under the influence of a very influential rumor, I think the probability of an air crash happening to an airline will have to be reduced by more than ten times.
What did that mean? Assuming that there was a 10% chance that something would happen to this flight, once you warned the airline in advance and informed them that this flight was dangerous, you would have enough time to prepare.
Training the flight crew and carrying out strict maintenance and inspection of the aircraft.
Then the accident rate of this flight might become one percent!
So, according to this theory, before Shao Banxian predicted the plane crash, the probability of the plane crash was 1 in 4.7 million. But after he predicted and announced it on the Internet, the probability of the plane crash was 1.5 million.
By conservative estimation, the probability of the plane being the real one was one in 47 million.
Therefore, according to this probability, it was about three times harder than the first prize of the two-color ball. Everyone could imagine how low the probability was!
When Gu Shaozhuang saw this, he gave her a thumbs up.
You're awesome!
He chewed on a grape in amusement. It was reasonable and well-founded. The data was also very good. No wonder so many people liked it.
He continued reading.
Then, the interesting thing came. When I put forward such an argument, there would always be people who would refute me. How could a landslide be predicted? Why couldn't a plane crash be predicted?
In fact, the reason was very simple. These two were completely different industries and could not be compared.
First of all, the landslide was something that humans could not predict or stop.
Secondly, plane accidents were something that humans could prevent, reduce, or even avoid!
The moment he predicted that the plane would crash, he had already sealed off his escape route. It had to be said that this was a very stupid move.
However, I still enjoyed this melon very much. I'm currently looking forward to the day of the prophecy.
Gu Shaozhuang stretched after reading it.
He muttered to himself,"Is that so?”
"It's as if you're looking forward to it more than I am.”
The corners of his mouth curled up slightly. Suddenly, an idea sprouted in his mind. Should he fly over ahead of time?
And then?
Witnessing the plane crash at the foot of Mount Fuji in the Kingdom of Cherry Blossoms?
There was a burning desire in his eyes. After this thought sprouted in his mind, he could not get rid of it.
There should still be enough time for him to set off early. Otherwise, he might not be able to make it in time.
He browsed through the price of the plane ticket.
Then, he chose a time that allowed him to sleep in. He could eat on the plane.
They would be able to reach their destination by tomorrow afternoon.
There was still a lot of time for him to go out to eat and have fun. This trip was really something to look forward to!
Gu Shaozhuang took one last look at the time on his phone, and the corners of his mouth curled up!
Currently, there were 36 hours and 24 minutes left before the air crash!
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New author tickets!
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This book comes from：m.funovel.com。